Wednesday, February 26, 2014

Threats of Troop withdrawal from Afghanistan...ill timed?


Recent developments between United States and Afghanistan have become even more stressed. The proposed Bilateral Security agreement (BSA) has yet to be signed and the future operations in Afghanistan and surrounding area will severely be effected. This is not excluding future discussions with Taliban leaders on prisoner exchange and peace talks. With President Hamid Karzai’s lack of commitment to U.S. policies and recent support of Taliban have raised concern with which way the country is going to head after the U.S. ends its military and financial involvement.
            The U.S. recently involved in prisoner exchange talks to retrieve Army Sergeant Bowe Bergdahl,  ended by Taliban officials. Reported the Andrea Mitchel Reports show on MSNBC, the Taliban have refrained in any commitment with prisoner exchange due to the future Afghanistan Elections, the BSA agreement and future US involvement in the area. There is a lot riding on the future words of the two current presidents and their stances with these current problems arising. If the U.S. does leave the country, a top Pakistan official claims that 30% of the Afghanistan security forces will desert and the country of Afghanistan will go into a civil war. Pakistan has been the most affected country during hostilities in Afghanistan commenced. This is not only due to it being a border country, but its close personal ties with Afghanistan.
            The U.S. will be pressuring Karzai to sign the Agreement allowing at least 13 thousand US and 4 thousand Allied forces to remain in the country. If Karzai does refuse to sign the agreement, then there will be aggressive U.S. and N.A.T.O support for Afghanistan Presidential Candidate Abdullah Abdullah who has promised to sign the bill if elected.  The BSA will most likely be the single driving force to help decide the future of Afghanistan along with the moral and commitment of its military and how the Taliban will be addressed. The U.S. is more than ready to bring its troops home from this 13-year war, and the BSA will help do that.
Afghanistan already has surpassed any other American war in time spent. Besides this distressing fact, Americans are still filling body bags from an increasing controversial country that may end up the same way Iraq has. Iraq has lost cities and regions to Al Qaeda and Iraq appears to be in more distress everyday with no end in site. With recent experience in foreign upstart government failure and lack of support, Afghanistan will remain in question if it is worth Government tax dollars and life to support its survival.
End State future U.S. and Afghanistan relations will hinder relationships in the entire region. Surrounding countries will have to deal with refugees, troops and fighting at its borders if there is to be a civil war. How just is it for the U.S. to maintain forces and spend millions of dollars for a country that may not want us there? This will require more help from the entire international community and support will for overall success will have to remain the U.S. main priority.

Sunday, February 2, 2014

Afghanistan's continued risks



By Thomas Lorenz

Future plans for the military in Afghanistan are underway with the recent meeting of President Obama and Commander of Afghanistan Operations General Joseph Dunford, on January 29, 2014.  A proposed total 15,000 U.S. and N.A.T.O troops are to remain in country and Senator (REP) John McCain spoke with reporter Wolf Blitzer during the show “The Situation Room" on CNN on January 28th about the future plans of withdrawal. Senator McCain stated right off with “Haven’t we learned from Iraq?” He discussed the loss of Iraq cities previously fought and won by U.S. troops and subsequently are currently held by Al Qaeda. Senator McCain warns that if this administration allows us to leave Afghanistan the same way we will see a repeat of Iraq. 

 With the impending U.S. troop withdrawal, continued threats of Taliban, and last but not least the up and coming April 5th, Afghanistan Presidential Elections have made Afghanistan one war that the U.S. can no longer afford.  As reported by Fox News, the Taliban have threatened to disrupt the elections and have already done so with 2 workers already dead from attacks. The campaigns of 11 people vying to be the next president in line will complicate matters not only for the campaign trail, but national security. It will require more frequent patrols and surveillance to ensure the safety of locals and politicians alike. Iraq had similar problems with bombings and drive by shootings during their first elections. Safety had became a major problem with little to no resolve and expect hostilities in this region to double before April.

The biggest problem is all the money wasting away in Afghanistan. Fox News reported that around 1 billion of U.S. Aid has gone unaccounted for. The USAID organization sent a letter to Fox news and requested the story not be published for future continuity with the country of Afghanistan. It appears that the billions of dollars we have spent, lives lost, and of course the protection of public perception of the current administration are at risk. Cutting ties will represent a lack of care towards lives lost and an overall waste of U.S. dollars.

News links:
Sen. John McCain Interview http://situationroom.blogs.cnn.com/2014/01/28/mccain-havent-we-learned-from-iraq/?iref=allsearch 

Afghanistan Elections http://www.foxnews.com/world/2014/02/02/campaigning-for-afghanistan-presidential-election-kicks-off-with-rallies-and/

USAID report http://video.foxnews.com/v/3128524393001/us-aid-to-afghanistan-going-to-waste/#sp=show-clips